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CNN: Mitt Romney may already have won the presidency
by Joseph Earnest October 19, 2012
Newscast Media ATLANTA, Ga—There is reason to believe that Monday's debate will have no impact on the voters and the election may be over. For the very first time in Obama's political career, he is running against a formidable competitor, who is determined so utterly, to win this presidential election. As I described him in the GOP primary, Mitt Romney is now a runaway train that started out as an experiment four years ago, and now the specimen has stepped out of the lab and cannot be stopped.
CNN earlier in the week expressed disappointment in Barack Obama and said, "Mitt Romney may have already won this election: Even if the president has a strong performance tonight, he failed us on the economy, failed us in Libya, failed us in Denver," in the article "Can Obama stop a Romney victory?" (pop-up)
A complete election forecast model has been released by two Colorado professors, Kenneth Bickers of Colorado University-Boulder and Michael Berry of Colorado Univ-Denver, showing the exact percentages of the states Obama will win and the states he will lose. Over a month ago we posted the forecast model of how the electoral map will look on November 6 (pop-up)
Below are the exact percentages based on the forecast model of Nov. 6
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States Obama will win |
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Percentage |
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*New Mexico (now GOP) 1. Michigan 2. New Jersey 3. Oregon 4. Maine 5. Nevada 6. Massachusetts 7. Washington 8. Illinois 9. Connecticut 10. Delaware 11. Maryland 12. California 13. New York 14. Rhode Island 15. Vermont 16. Hawaii 17. District of Columbia |
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50.93 51.38 51.91 52.00 52.04 52.32 52.39 52.49 55.17 55.56 55.73 55.82 56.52 56.73 57.94 60.69 66.34 86.36 |
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States Obama will lose |
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Percentage |
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Oklahoma Wyoming Utah Idaho Alaska Alabama Arkansas Louisiana Nebraska Kentucky North Dakota Tennessee Kansas West Virginia Mississippi South Dakota Texas South Carolina Georgia Montana Arizona Missouri Indiana North Carolina Ohio Florida Virginia Iowa New Hampshire Minnesota Colorado Pennsylvania Wisconsin |
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27.68 27.72 28.42 30.65 32.57 32.75 33.14 34.24 34.67 35.08 35.34 35.47 36.09 36.30 37.06 37.41 37.78 39.53 41.09 41.46 42.75 43.69 44.17 44.46 45.00 45.75 46.05 46.98 47.20 47.87 48.19 48.24 49.92 |
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Romney 53.3% of popular vote; Obama 46.7% |
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2012 Presidential Forecast Model Research Study by: Prof. Kenneth Bickers of Colorado University-Boulder and Prof. Michael Berry of Colorado Univ-Denver |
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Regardless of the findings in this research study, it is imperative that voters go to polling stations and cast their votes, because this will also affect elections at the state level.Click here to download the complete study with graphs. (pop-up)
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